Perception Is Everything: Study Finds Appraisers View Home Values Nearly 2% Lower than Owners Estimate

Staff Report From Georgia CEO

Monday, July 18th, 2016

Quicken Loans, the nation's second largest retail mortgage lender, today announced home values assigned by appraisers were 1.93 percent lower than what homeowners estimated in June, according to the company's national Home Price Perception Index. The difference between value perceptions from appraisers and owners has slightly widened since May, when appraised values were 1.89 percent lower than expected.

Home valuations across the country rose in June, as reported by the Quicken Loans Home Value Index. The average home appraisal increased 0.84 percent since May and enjoyed a 4.47 percent boost since June 2015.

Home Price Perception Index

The June HPPI shows appraised values are 1.93 percent lower nationally than what homeowners estimated. While this isn't a large discrepancy, the gap between expected and actual appraisal values grew slightly since May. The perception of home value varies widely across the country. Appraisals show home values higher than owner expectations by as much as 3 percent in Denver but, in contrast, were more than 3 percent lower in Baltimore, Detroit and Philadelphia.  

"Perception is everything. It can make or break a home sale or mortgage refinance," said Quicken Loans Chief Economist Bob Walters. "That's why it's so important for homeowners to realize how they perceive their home's value could vary widely from how an appraiser views it. If the estimate is lower by just a few percentage points, the buyer could need to bring as much as another several thousand dollars to the table to avoid having to restructure the loan." 

Home Value Index

Continuing the slow upward march, appraised values rose by 0.84 percent from May to June - as measured by the national HVI. Home values are making stronger annual gains, rising 4.47 percent since June 2015. The regional data shows equally robust growth. Each of the four regions measured displayed modest monthly gains and more meaningful year-over-year growth. The West remains the leader with a 5.84 percent annual increase in appraised value. The Northeast posted the smallest increase with a rise of 2.07 since last year.

"Nationally, home value increases are well within the healthy range," said Walters. "Although, the variances across the country can influence owners' perception. Owners in the West, where appraised values are rising more quickly, tend to underestimate their home's value. The opposite is true for those in the Northeast, with appraised values showing slower growth.  

 

HVI

June 2016

 

January 2005 =
100

HVI

June 2016

vs.

May 2016

% Change

HVI

June 2016

vs.

June 2015

% Change

HPPI

June 2016

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

HPPI

June 2015

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

National
Composite

98.19

+0.84%

+4.47%

-1.93%

-1.40%

 

*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.

 

Geographic

Regions

 

HVI

June 2016

 

January 2005 =
100

HVI

June 2016

vs.

May 2016

% Change

HVI

June 2016

vs.

June 2015

% Change

HPPI

June 2016

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

HPPI

June 2015

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

West

117.62

+1.45%

+5.84%

-1.70%

0.00%

South

99.95

+0.66%

+4.62%

-1.90%

-0.24%

Midwest

81.51

+0.87%

+3.57%

-2.02%

-2.14%

Northeast

94.75

+0.17%

+2.07%

-2.14%

-0.27%

 

*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.

 

Metropolitan

Areas

 

HPPI

June 2016

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

HPPI

May 2016

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

HPPI

June 2015

 

Appraiser Value
vs. Homeowner
Perception of
Value*

Denver, CO

+3.23%

+3.28%

+4.22%

San Jose, CA

+2.74%

+3.00%

+6.11%

San Francisco, CA

+2.68%

+2.87%

+5.39%

Dallas, TX

+2.07%

+2.07%

+2.85%

Portland, OR

+1.60%

+1.62%

+2.28%

Houston, TX

+1.31%

+1.44%

+3.37%

Sacramento, CA

+1.30%

+1.29%

+1.73%

Los Angeles, CA

+0.91%

+0.81%

+2.44%

Riverside, CA

+0.50%

+0.60%

+1.36%

Boston, MA

+0.44%

+0.41%

+1.78%

Seattle, WA

+0.29%

+0.03%

+1.13%

San Diego, CA

+0.11%

+0.06%

-0.22%

Miami, FL

-0.15%

-0.14%

+0.75%

Washington, D.C.

-0.19%

-0.23%

+1.10%

Minneapolis, MN

-0.25%

-0.51%

-0.04%

Phoenix, AZ

-0.74%

-0.63%

-0.08%

Las Vegas, NV

-0.76%

-0.51%

+1.23%

Charlotte, NC

-0.86%

-1.22%

-2.02%

Tampa, FL

-1.19%

-1.06%

-0.42%

Kansas City, MO

-1.33%

-1.43%

-3.19%

Atlanta, GA

-1.48%

-1.33%

-0.89%

New York, NY

-1.76%

-1.75%

-0.90%

Cleveland, OH

-2.11%

-2.12%

-1.26%

Chicago, IL

-2.77%

-2.89%

-1.45%

Baltimore, MD

-3.31%

-3.37%

-0.87%

Detroit, MI

-3.38%

-3.39%

+0.59%

Philadelphia, PA

-3.40%

-3.48%

-2.83%

 

*A positive value represents appraiser opinions that are higher than homeowner perceptions. A negative value represents appraiser opinions that are lower than homeowner perceptions.