Inventory Limits February Home Sales While Pushing Up Prices

Staff Report

Tuesday, March 20th, 2018

One word sums up February home sales across the country – inventory. The lack of homes for sale continues to be the key factor as February marks the third consecutive month of year-over-year declines in home sales, coupled with quick sales and record prices.

According to the March RE/MAX National Housing Report, home sales dropped 0.2% from February 2017, while the Days on Market average of 62 days was the lowest of any February in the report's nine-year history.

"We shared our outlook of the real estate market in the new year and it seems that even two months into 2018 we're already seeing records break," said RE/MAX CEO Adam Contos. "The February 2018 median sales price of $228,700 marks the 22nd consecutive month of year-over-year price increases."

The Months Supply of Inventory was 3.1 – also a RE/MAX National Housing Report February record – and underscored an average decline in inventory of 13.7% among the 52 markets reporting.

"While the hot markets like Denver and San Francisco continue to see low supplies of inventory, we're also watching more homebuyers migrate into unexpected markets," added Contos. "In one year, Billings, Montana, saw a 59 percent increase in home sales, along with Boise, Idaho, with a 25 percent increase in sales."

Out of 52 markets, 18 metro areas saw double-digit percentage increases in median sales price year-over-year. While only two metros saw a year-over-year decrease in median sales price – Albuquerque, NM, and Burlington, VT.

Closed Transactions 
Of the 52 metro areas surveyed in February 2018, the overall average number of home sales increased +3.5% compared to January 2018 and decreased -0.2% compared to February 2017. Twenty-six of the 52 metro areas experienced an increase in sales year-over-year including, Billings, MT, +59.2%, Boise, ID, +25.4%, Burlington, VT, +20.4%, Milwaukee, WI, +19.6% and Richmond, VA, at +13.2%

Median Sales Price – Median of 52 metro median prices
In February 2018, the median of all 52 metro Median Sales Prices was $228,700, up +2.3% from January 2018 and up +8.1% from February 2017. Two metro areas saw a year-over-year decrease in Median Sales Price, Albuquerque, NM, -0.2% and Burlington, VT, -5.2%. Eighteen metro areas increased year-over-year by double-digit percentages, with the largest increases seen in Las Vegas, NV, +15.6%, San Francisco, CA, +15.5%, Seattle, WA, +15.4%, Pittsburgh, PA, +14.8% and Minneapolis, MN, +13.3%.

Days on Market – Average of 52 metro areas
The average Days on Market for homes sold in February 2018 was 62, up two days from the average in January 2018, and down six days from the February 2017 average. The metro areas with the lowest Days on Market were Las Vegas, NV, and San Diego, CA, at 36, Denver, CO, and Nashville, TN, both at 35, and Seattle, WA, at 33. The highest Days on Market averages were in Wilmington, DE, at 117, Wichita, KS, at 101, Washington, D.C., at 99 and Tulsa, OK, at 93. Days on Market is the number of days between when a home is first listed in an MLS and a sales contract is signed.

Months Supply of Inventory – Average of 52 metro areas
The number of homes for sale in February 2018 was down -1.0% from January 2018, and down -13.7% from February 2017. Based on the rate of home sales in February, the Months Supply of Inventory decreased to 3.1 from January 2018 at 3.4, as well as decreased compared to February 2017 at 3.6. A 6.0-months supply indicates a market balanced equally between buyers and sellers. In February 2018, 48 of the 52 metro areas surveyed reported a months supply at or less than 6.0, which is typically considered a seller's market. The metro areas that saw a months supply above 6.0, which is typically considered a buyer's market, were Miami, FL, at 7.0, New Orleans, LA, at 6.8, Augusta, ME, at 6.5 and Burlington, VT, at 6.4. The markets with the lowest Months Supply of Inventory continued to be in the west with Denver, CO, and Seattle, WA, at 1.0 and San Francisco, CA, at 1.1.